Monday 27-04-2026 8:52pm

Thanks Malcolm, Josh and Angus

Australia's prestige renewables project, Snowy 2.0, is emerging as one of the most expensive power projects in the world. Unless halted, it has the potential to lock Australia into high-cost electricity systems for decades ahead and destroy huge areas of prime agriculture. The $40bln cost estimate is about 20 times the original projection. Both the Liberals and Nationals are so embarrassed by their early involvement that they turn a blind eye. One Nation may have an answer, Robert Gottliebsen reckons in this morning's Oz. Snowy 2.0 is a giant, pumped-hydro battery. It does not create power. The electricity that will drive the Snowy 2.0 complex will come from as far away as western Victoria, eastern South Australia and other distant locations. Theoretically, the $40bln for Snowy 2.0 could fund four nuclear plants that could supply a massive part of the power demands of Sydney or Melbourne, carbon-free. The Snowy 2.0 disaster will be blamed on Malcolm Turnbull, who started the project. But that's not fair. Josh Frydenberg was energy minister in the Turnbull government. In the Morrison government, Angus Taylor was energy minister. But it was the Energy Minister Chris Bowen, who gave it top priority. The power price consequences of Snowy 2.0 are so dire that the government may have no choice but to add the $40bln cost to the budget deficit and our debt, rather than fund it via electricity prices. Farmers have protested and fought but both the Liberals and the Nationals have ignored their plight and that of Australian agriculture and food production. One Nation's policy is that towers should not be built on farmland and that those who build towers must provide a deposit to fund their removal. Towers usually last about 40 years. By the time of the next federal election, many towers will have been built. We do not know how Pauline Hanson will adjust her policy but one option is that those who have built towers, including subcontractors, must immediately place funds into a trust to finance their removal at the end of their life. Huge fines would apply to contractors and subcontractors who disobey the law. Another option is that towers built on agricultural land should be dismantled as soon as possible at the builders' expense.


 SPORT:

Footy as expected and Smithy looking towards Olympics

Sea Eagles pecked the Eels 33-18 and the Panthers gnawed the Knights 44-12. In that other sport down south GWS made hard work against North Melbourne but won 105-98 while Brisbane fared slightly better at 127-78 against Adelaide. St Kilda was the shining light — 142 to 42 against the West Coast. [click to read more]

A dazzling century from Steve Smith went in vain as the Multan Sultans suffered a tense four-wicket loss to the Hyderabad Kingsmen in Karachi on Wednesday, Nic Savage wrote in this morning's Oz.

The New South Welshman clobbered a 47-ball century, his sixth T20 hundred, combining with opening partner Sahibzada Farhan for a 132-run partnership after Hyderabad won the chose and chose to field first.

Smith’s 50-ball 106, which featured 12 boundaries and six sixes, steered Multan towards an imposing 7-213, coming a day after he cracked a 27-ball fifty against Rawalpindiz at the same venue.

Having controversially missed selection for Australia’s recent T20 World Cup campaign in the subcontinent, Smith is looking to press his case for a recall for the 2028 Los Angeles Olympics, hoping to add an Olympic medal to his overflowing trophy cabinet.

The Sultans neglected to review a caught-behind decision on Usman Khan’s first delivery during the run chase, which proved a costly blunder as the Kingsmen wicketkeeper plundered a 44-ball century, including ten sixes, following the early reprieve.

The Pakistan gloveman combined with captain Marnus Labuschagne for a 123-run partnership for the fourth wicket to put Hyderabad within touching distance of the 214-run target before veteran Australian seamer Peter Siddle (3-39 from four overs) snared three quick scalps to set up a thrilling finish.

Labuschagne (61 from 41 balls), Khan (101 from 47 balls) and superstar Glenn Maxwell each departed during the brief collapse of 3-11, with the Kingsmen at one stage needing 32 runs from the final 13 deliveries for victory.

However, all-rounder Hassan Khan smacked an unbeaten 24 from six balls during the death overs to get Hyderabad over the line with three balls to spare.

I don't have too many words for that, Labuschagne said after the match.

That whole game was pretty special. We saw two special hundreds, firstly from Steve; that was a captain’s nightmare.

Then for Usman to come out, especially with the tournament he’s had, which hasn't been perfect, and play with that confidence and clarity was just special.

He sort of said, 'I think I need a couple of games off.' And I said, 'You aren't getting a couple of games off, mate. I know how good you are.'


 STOCKMARKET:

Results week and suppy of dyes dies

A scorching U.S. stock rally faces a test from a mammoth week of corporate results led by major technology companies, along with a Federal Reserve meeting that could mark the end of Jerome Powell’s tenure as head of the U.S. central bank, Reuters updated on today's website. [click to continue reading]

Equity indexes have soared this month, rebounding from worries about economic fallout from the Middle East conflict to mint record highs. The benchmark S&P 500 as of Friday was up about 13% since March 30. In that span the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite jumped more than 19%.

We've come a long way in a short amount of time, said Anthony Saglimbene, chief market strategist at Ameriprise. This week is just going to be a big week for confirmation of the rally.

Although a Middle East ceasefire alleviated concerns about a more severe escalation and helped fuel the equities rally, developments involving the U.S.-Israeli war with Iran remained likely to jostle asset prices in coming days.

Expectations for strong profits this year have boosted investors' bullish outlook for stocks, and first-quarter reporting season is off to a solid start. As of Friday, 81.3% of S&P 500 companies have posted earnings above analysts' expectations, with overall earnings expected up 16.1% in the first quarter, according to Tajinder Dhillon, head of earnings research at LSEG.

More than one-third of the S&P 500 is set to post results this week alone. They include five of the Magnificent Seven megacap companies, which have been among the signature stocks of the bull market that began more than three years ago.

Microsoft, Alphabet, Amazon, and Meta Platforms report on Wednesday, with investors focusing on their massive capital spending plans to build out data centers and other infrastructure to support artificial intelligence applications. Apple reports on Thursday, on the heels of the iPhone maker announcing a change of CEOs.

These companies have a lot to prove and for their stock prices to move higher, they're really going to have to wow investors on the earnings front, Saglimbene said.

After mixed starts to the year, the Magnificent Seven and tech stocks broadly have mostly put up a strong performance this month. Chipmaker stocks have been standouts, with the Philadelphia SE Semiconductor index rising for 18 straight sessions as of Friday.

Other companies reporting next week include weight-loss drugmaker Eli Lilly, oil major Exxon Mobil and payments processing company Visa.

The Fed is widely expected to hold interest rates steady in its policy statement on Wednesday at the end of its two-day meeting. Investors will seek updated views from policymakers about the war’s impact on the economy and the path for interest rates.

Concerns about a war-driven surge in energy prices have led investors to temper expectations for equity-friendly rate cuts this year. Markets are pricing in less than one standard 25-basis-point cut by December, according to LSEG data, after expecting at least two before the war began in late February.

Still, the Fed being on hold … is somewhat supportive, versus other central banks that are expected to hike in the next couple of meetings, said Marvin Loh, senior global macro strategist at State Street. So it … provides a little bit of a tailwind for U.S. assets.

The meeting also is poised to be the last with Powell at the helm, with his term as chair set to end on May 15. Former Fed Governor Kevin Warsh, President Donald Trump’s pick as the next Fed chair, appeared before a U.S. Senate panel this week for his confirmation hearing.

News emerged on Friday that the U.S. Justice Department was closing its investigation into Powell over renovation costs of the Fed’s headquarters, clearing a key obstacle for Warsh to take over.

This week also features data on first-quarter U.S. economic growth, as well as the March Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index, the Fed’s preferred gauge for inflation. Both reports could offer insight into the Middle East conflict’s economic fallout so far.

The war remains a key issue for markets, said Sid Vaidya, chief investment strategist at TD Wealth.

The concern for us would be that we've seen the market rebound but we don't have a permanent resolution in place, Vaidya said. The longer the conflict goes, the greater the risk to the real economy, which will then translate into some potential pain and volatility for markets.


 NEWS:

🎠 Government's
head in the
sand fiasco

Asia energy whisperer Paul Everingham says Australia’s neighbours are constantly asking why it has not done more to develop its vast oil and gas resources while asking the likes of Singapore, Japan and Malaysia for fuel supplies, reports The Australian today's website. [click to read more]

The region was the epicentre of the oil and gas shortage, and for some governments it was galling to see a resources-rich nation pleading for help, Mr Everingham, the chief executive of the Asia Natural Gas and Energy Association, said.

He said the questions were growing louder as the conflict in the Middle East dragged on and the US and Iran drift further apart.

Mr Everingham said some economies were returning to coal amid Australia’s mixed messages about appetite for a new tax on LNG.

He also branded as demonstrably false claims from Climate Change and Energy Minister Chris Bowen that no countries were talking about a need for more fossil fuels.

ANGEA represents oil and gas majors, electricity providers and some of Japan’s biggest trading houses. Its Australia-based members include Woodside Energy and Santos.

Mr Everingham has spent the past four years crisscrossing Asia from a base in Singapore talking with governments and industry about gas in energy security and as an alternative to coal.

The former chief executive of the Chamber of Minerals and Energy in WA said consecutive Australian governments had been poorly advised on fuel security.

That poor advice about having a just-in-time economy with a 30-day reserve assumes an uninterrupted supply chain for decade after decade, he said. That’s nice in theory and in a text book but in the real world supply claims break down.

Mr Everingham said he was repeatedly being asked about Australia’s failure to tap into oil and gas resources envied by Asia.

They come back to 'Australia has got all of the energy resources that it needs at home, why aren't they developing them?' he said.

Politicians get elected by the people, and the people have been voting to make climate change a priority. Whether this Middle Eastern conflict changes that and people want to make sure we have energy security above all else is a big question.

The Middle East was holding big parts of Asia and Australia to ransom right now.

Mr Everingham said sustainability has dropped down the priority curve and energy security has gone to the top across all of Asia, a region which relies on the Middle East for 80% of its fuel supply.

The Australian government now appears unlikely to impose a new tax on LNG in the May budget based on comments by prime minister Anthony Albanese in recent days and warnings from Japan that it does not like surprises.

Mr Everingham said any such tax would damage multiple relationships with customers. It’s not just Japan. Japan are the one country prepared to speak up publicly. It’s Korea, it’s China, it’s Taiwan, it’s Singapore but all rely on our gas. The Philippines is starting to import our gas. Thailand is starting to import our gas, he said.

It is a success story. We are taking Asia off coal and putting them on gas that’s 50-60% cleaner than coal and people in Canberra don't even know that.

The Albanese government would risk upsetting seven or eight really significant Asian partners by changing the rules of the game if it proceeded with another tax.

Mr Everingham will conclude his five-year term in the energy industry and return to Perth to take up a job as head business development and corporate affairs at Chris Ellison-led Mineral Resources.

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 LOCAL CHATTER:


 NEWS:

🏃 Kids walk
free in
major crimes

A teen accused of involvement in the violent underworld kidnapping of an associate of rapper and alleged Alameddine crime clan member Ali Ay Huncho Younes has walked free on bail, with the Opposition hitting out, the Daily Telegraph newspaper today reports. [click to read more]

The 15-year-old boy was arrested alongside four adults in the early hours of Tuesday at a home at Casula, in southwest Sydney, inside which the group was allegedly holding hostage Emilio Chalhoub, a close associate of high-profile rapper and alleged Alameddine crime clan member Ali Ay Huncho Younes.

Police allege Chalhoub had a gun pointed at him and was beaten with a baseball bat before being forced into a car at Guildford and taken to the Casula home where he was tied up.

But little more than 24 hours after being arrested by NSW Police, the accused teenage kidnapper walked out of the Campbelltown Children’s Court on bail.

The decision to immediately grant the boy bail ∼ despite him facing six charges including kidnapping in company, possessing an unauthorised pistol and participating in a criminal group ∼ comes as Taskforce Falcon investigators work around the clock to kerb rising underworld tensions.

Opposition police spokesperson Anthony Roberts said with youths being increasingly recruited by Sydney crime gangs, the community and cops were fed up at the continuous revolving door of the NSW courts.

If there are no consequences to an action, what sign does that send? Mr Roberts asked.

“And what message does it send to police when you have a government who is soft on these (alleged) juvenile offenders? They should be remanded — let them see the inside of a jail for a while.

It appears the government has just given up.

The Minns government previously introduced stricter bail laws for teens accused of posting and boasting videos of their offences on social media.

But when asked what would be done about the immediate release of the alleged teenage underworld kidnapper, NSW Attorney-General Michael Daley said the government would not even order a review of the bail decision.

Bail decisions are made by judicial officers who operate independently of government, a spokesperson for Mr Daley said yesterday. As the matter remains before the court, the Attorney-General is unable to comment further.

Police have long warned that organised crime gangs were recruiting youths to carry out their dirty work, aware they are more likely to receive leniency from the courts.

We've grown to accept in the police force that we don't have to lock them up once, we have to lock them up at least twice, a senior police source told the Telegraph.

The four adults allegedly involved in the same attack last week were all remanded in custody, while the teen will return to Campbelltown Children’s Court in two months.





👷 Hard work
not on
young
agenders

Grim new data has revealed Australia is heading into a slow-motion crisis, with young people abandoning this key works pathway in droves reports the news.com.au website today. [click to read more]

The number of young Aussies taking up apprenticeships has continued to plummet, fresh data has revealed, with the Federal Government urged to reverse harsh cuts to support payments or face further worker shortages in key industries.

In the 12 months to September 2025, trade apprentice commencements fell nearly 10%, while non-trade commencements (traineeships) were down just over 18%, according to the National Centre for Vocational Education Research.

The Australian Industry Group has warned that recent cuts to key government support payments, combined with disruption from the Middle East conflict, could see those numbers fall further.

Apprenticeship starts are the canary in the coalmine for future skills shortages, AI Group said in a research note.

Skilled workers like carpenters, welders, electricians, hairdressers and care workers don't just appear overnight. They are developed over extended periods of time through apprenticeships and traineeships that combine training with real work undertaken in real workplaces. In many cases, it takes three to four years for an apprentice to become fully qualified as a skilled tradesperson.

For trade occupations, the largest falls were among food trades workers (down 26.7%), engineering, ICT and science techs (down 23.3%), auto and engineering trades workers (down 10.9%) and construction trades workers (down 6.1%).

For non-trade occupations, the largest falls were among sales workers (47.3%), clerical and administrative workers (down 24%), labourers (down 17.2%) and community and personal service workers (down 13.5%).

The lobby group warns the long-term decline in apprenticeships is more concerning.

After a brief spike from 2020 to 2022 driven by pandemic stimulus, which included generous wage subsidies for employers of apprentices and trainees, the long-term downward trend has resumed.

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🏶 Truffles
no trifle
with bright
future

Australia is the world’s fourth-largest black truffle producer. Now scientists may have unearthed why. Understanding truffles is a 'tricky proposition' because most of the magic occurs underground, reports the The Guardian website. [click to read more].

Black truffles aren't native to Australia but, since the first oaks and hazelnuts were planted in the 1990s, the local industry has flourished, becoming the largest producer outside Europe.

Now, scientists have identified the environmental factors that appear to have contributed to that success.

Many types of fungi produce truffles, a fruiting body that grows underground. But a handful of species, including French black (or Périgord) truffles from Europe, are considered gourmet delicacies, highly prized for their earthy bouquet and rich, savoury notes.

They were introduced relatively recently, with the first host trees planted in Tasmania in 1995, the first black truffles harvested in 1999 and Australia’s first exports in 2007.

Since then it would be fair to say the local industry has mushroomed. In under three decades, Australia has become the fourth-largest producer of black truffles globally, after Spain, France and Italy.

There are now more than 400 truffle orchards - and half a million host trees, mainly oaks and hazels - spread across every state and territory except the Northern Territory, according to the Australian Truffle Growers Association.

Scientists from Michigan State University, curious whether environmental factors could have played a role in this success, analysed truffles and soils from 24 orchards across France, Spain, Italy and Australia.

Associate prof Gregory Bonito, a mycologist and author of the study, said understanding truffles was a tricky proposition because much of what happens occurs underground.

You grow a tree like an apple, you can see the flower and then the fruits, but below ground it’s a different story, because it’s harder to follow, he said.

That’s why the research, published in Applied and Environmental Microbiology, involved collecting spoonfuls of soil and analysing various characteristics including the diversity of fungi and bacteria present, along with sampling the truffle’s microbiome.

The results suggested that one reason black truffles have thrived in Australia was reduced competition from similar types of fungi.

DNA sequencing identified 4,415 genetically distinct types of fungi hidden in Australian soils compared with 6,575 in soils from Europe. Australian truffle orchards had 75% fewer species of mycorrhizal fungi, the type that produces truffles, giving black truffles more of a monopoly.

The findings were already being pored over by local growers.

Stuart Dunbar of Yarra Valley Truffles, about an hour’s drive east of Melbourne, holds the record for the largest cultivated truffle - a 1.5kg beauty.

Having planted his trees in 2006, the first fruits arrived about four years later.

The best time to harvest was mid-winter, heading into spring, he said, just as acorns and hazelnuts were beginning to germinate and sprout.

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 COMMENT:

Murrurundi Times news site with items covering national news and Upper Hunter region including the township of Murrurundi
Chris Bowen has claimed oil drilling decisions should be based on economics and engineering, despite his government creating barriers that Vikki Campion says make new projects impossible writes Vikki Campion in Daily Telegraph yesterday. [click to read more]

Drilling for oil in Australian territory is the equivalent of dropping every last dollar into the dusty arcade claw machine while the entire Labor cabinet cheers go for it!, knowing the whole game is rigged.

When Climate Change Minister Chris Bowen this week said that decisions about whether to drill should be based on the economics and the engineering and if it meets the environmental approvals, then it can happen and should happen, it was as if he had had nothing to do with the economics or the environmental approvals.

Look at the first budget of the Albanese government, which cancelled a swag of grants announced for diesel storage and petroleum drilling and instead decided to fund the Environmental Defenders Office, which then took Beetaloo drilling projects approved by former Resources Minister Keith Pitt to the NT Supreme Court.

A new anti drilling bureaucracy

Last year, they brought in reforms so that businesses need to deliver a net gain for biodiversity, a new bureaucracy in a federal Environmental Protection Agency with the power to issue stop-work orders, and forced abatement of carbon emissions under the guise of a carbon tax masquerading as the Safeguard Mechanism.

Bowen and the rest of the Albanese government, who went on to spend the next four years talking about reducing emissions, know the system has been gamed so much, with everything stacked against any new proponent, only a fool would try.

Bowen blames engineering as the issue. Any drilling must pass those economics and engineering tests, he says. But it wasn't too hard for them to drill in the 1970s in the Bass Strait, one of the world’s most dangerous stretches of water, home to the roaring forties and shipwrecks galore, and its oil production softened Australia’s exposure to the last global petroleum crisis.

Just too difficult in Oz

But, now in 2026, Mr Bowen wants us to believe that drilling is just too difficult in Australia.

Australia’s oceans are apparently scarier than they were 50 years ago. More terrifying than Russian icy seas or the deep swell off the Gulf of Mexico, where some of the deepest oil rigs produce millions of barrels of oil.

In the 1970s, we produced 70% of our own petroleum from local oil and refineries.

Now we rely on imports and there’s no guarantee we'll have fuel past mid-May.

The government measures fuel security by counting empty service stations, even though these aren't the main suppliers for big buyers like farmers or miners.

Zelots making sure we don't drill

It has everything to do with the government, which forced existing wells to be capped, who armed those who oppose petroleum on ideological grounds with taxpayer-funded court cases and who provide minimal transparency in relation to activist groups masquerading as charities.

Zealots staff environmental departments, industry super funds are forced to buy politically correct investments, and geologists find themselves busier with paperwork than getting dirty, forced to deal with both state and federal departments to handle what is a state resource.

Australia’s oil is both attainable and comparable to the best reserves in the world. The biggest impediment is not sub-arctic temperatures or deep oceans, but the government itself. No investor is going to sink billions into the Albanese claw machine for drilling, knowing that they will never win.

One-eyed passion

Bowen insists projects need to stack up environmentally, while disregarding foreign companies dynamiting pristine forests for wind turbines or NSW’s EnergyCo, in its one-eyed passion for building transmission towers spanning thousands of kilometres, no matter how much biodiversity goes under the bulldozer.

The game works for them — they get the prize. If we eased environmental approvals, as we do for transmission lines, sped up payments and granted landowners underground rights, we could produce Australian oil within six months.

Mr Bowen says any development needs to stack up economically but one must ask the question: with crude oil prices surging toward $144 a barrel and domestic fuel security evaporating, how exactly does refusing to develop our own resources make good economic sense?

The game was never meant to be won. It has been rigged to ensure the only people walking away with any plush toy from behind the glass are the ones Mr Bowen has already decided should win.

We have skills, technology and the guts to claim the prize for oil. The only thing we don't have is a government that’s prepared to let us play a fair game.

It’s easier to see the bite in the small towns, on the quieter streets, because when the shop shuts, it doesn't reopen; darkened windows sit as an empty reminder of what used to bring people together between the post office and the IGA.

Another day older and deeper in debt!

Over the coffee machine in one cafe, the owner confides that he thinks his business is done because he can't sell enough lattes and eggs to pay the four-figure power bill; even with the crowd out front, and the line at the till, with good staff and good food, every month he goes deeper into debt.

You see it in statistics from the Australian Securities & Investments Commission which show that 14,722 businesses entered insolvency in the 2025 financial year.

Statistics from the Australian Energy Regulator released this week show that more than 6200 electricity customers were disconnected in the last quarter, with the average account holder owing $2600 at the time of disconnection.

Thousands of businesses are going insolvent, and thousands of people are being disconnected from power.

And they tell us it's betting cheaper

Yet the same bureaucrats tell us power is getting cheaper and assure us renewables will send bills down. Just not before we go out of business.

The smart ones try to get out quickly, listening to their heads rather than their entrepreneurial hearts. They watch their plans fall apart — how they turned a shabby old house into a lively spot for coffee and tea, a place where the lonely or elderly could meet and talk, a bit of sophistication in a town where the only other choice is the pub.


Murrurundi Times news site with items covering national news and Upper Hunter region including the township of Murrurundi
At dawn in the high summer of 413BC, when the Peloponnesian War was in its 18th year, two trophies faced each other across the narrow strait at the mouth of the Corinthian Gulf. The day before, a Corinthian fleet had met an Athenian squadron and for the first time had struck the Athenians more forcefully than they could strike back, Henry Ergas writes in the The Australian today. [click to read more]

The Corinthians knew the Athenians' larger fleet and masterly seamanship gave them a crushing advantage. To counter it, they modified their ships' prows, making them shorter and stouter to withstand ramming. Having neutralised their adversaries' superiority by departing from the conventional Greek ship design, they raised their victory trophy at Erineus on the Achaean shore.

But despite extensive damage, the Athenians held the water at the fighting’s end, recovered the wrecks and the dead and, according to traditional standards, were the victors. In the hours that followed, they rowed across the Gulf and planted a counter-trophy at Molycrian Rhion, on the Aetolian side.

By the early morning light the two trophies therefore came clearly into view only three kilometres apart. Longstanding rules, that awarded victory to one side or the other, had been breached; but it was something far deeper that lay broken at Erineus.

German intellectual historian Hans Blumenberg ∼ who had experienced the rise of Nazism ∼ put it best. Human beings, he argued, are constitutionally incapable of living in unfiltered contact with reality, exposed to the overwhelming, undifferentiated threat of a world that offers no given orientation, no protection. We therefore connect ourselves to it through the mediating tissue of myth and ritual, metaphor and story.

These do not give us access to the world as it is; they render it intelligible by investing events with significance and placing them within a widely understood frame. And what makes a society viable is sufficient overlap between its members' mental maps to allow them to manage their differences.

When the common repertoire of memories, symbols and words breaks down, that connective tissue is not merely strained; it is torn apart. The result is what Thucydides called stasis: a condition in which conflict can no longer be contained by the civic order, driving society towards rupture.

The war, as Erineus revealed, had shredded the Greek world’s shared frame of significance — undermining ritual, dissolving trust and corroding alliances once deemed secure.

However, the process ran not only between poleis but within them. And nowhere was the descent into stasis more disastrous than in Thucydides' beloved Athens.

Against stasis, Athens had, at the war’s outset, one extraordinary bulwark: the city as Pericles had taught his generation to see it. What distinguished the Athenians, Pericles said in the Funeral Oration, was that they loved life and lived it fully, yet were ready to die for their city, precisely because the city gave them so much.

But claiming love of, and loyalty to, the city was easy when both were without cost. Once the plague descended on Athens in 430BC, bringing sudden and unpredictable death, Athenians began to live for the moment, placing present appetite above future concerns.

Soon after, with Pericles dying while the plague raged, his demagogic successors devoted their specious rhetoric to inflaming division rather than fostering collective purpose.

It was, however, the war that consummated the rupture into opposing camps. War, Thucydides writes, filches away the easy provision of the everyday. The civic decencies proved dependent on peace and plenty; when citizens were forced to bear even the slightest hardship, the thinness of the civic compact was exposed.

By then, dialogue had collapsed and the factions were hermetically enclosed in their own myths, entrenching the hatreds between them. The war had come home. It was only a matter of time before external enemies administered the coup de grace to a body that had already lost its capacity to cohere. Thucydides' formula is terse: the Athenians did not succumb to Sparta; they succumbed to one another.

Thucydides, with what Nietzsche praised as his courage in the face of reality, diagnosed the disease as its victim lay dying. But he did far more than that. His history is itself a compensatory act of significance-making in the face of significance’s dissolution.

By giving the war a shape, a language, a set of themes that still organise political thought, Thucydides produced a ktêma es aiei, a possession for all time. He wrote, he tells us, so that future men, when they see similar tragedies looming ∼ and the nature of human affairs makes their recurrence inevitable ∼ may recognise the risks and act accordingly.

Two and a half millennia later, his warning resonates. Once again, we are in a war marred not only by the clash of arms but by a cacophony of contradictory claims.

War, by its nature, shrouds gains and losses in secrecy, deception and misrepresentation. Worse still, assessments of its likely course are vitiated by the inherent unpredictability of action and reaction: what Thucydides called to astathmëton — the irreducible contingency of a world that can be acted upon but never fully mastered.

But despite those factors, which urge caution, there is an extraordinary rush to judgment, pronouncing outcomes and anointing victors, before they are decided. And no less extraordinary is the vehemence with which opposing views are held, assigning all success (and tactical shrewdness) to one side and all failure (and strategic folly) to the other.

The barely disguised schadenfreude of Donald Trump’s haters and the matching ire of his supporters, are, no doubt, part of the explanation. They are, however, symptoms rather than causes, visible manifestations of the stasis Thucydides acutely analysed: the withering, here as throughout the West, of the common repertoire of values and practices through which contending arguments can be advanced, differences addressed, tensions however imperfectly contained.

And yet the crowds at the Anzac Day dawn service ∼ one of the few occasions on which Australians still gather the frayed threads of historical significance ∼ show the longing for a shared framework of meaning persists.

Inaugurated in another time of bitter division, after the searing antagonisms of the conscription referendums, the dawn service’s ritual centre, with its They shall grow not old, as we that are left grow old, says nothing of the dead’s relation to eternity; it speaks instead of the living’s relation to the dead, conferring enduring meaning on events that unfolded more than a century ago in war’s all-enveloping fog.

The Last Post is sounded into the dark; the silence is kept; the Rouse follows as the sky begins to brighten. Between the two lies a held breath in which the nation briefly becomes, once more, a community.

That is a pause, not a cure. But if, in those few moments, we can resolve to remember not only the fallen but the achievements, now so often derided, of the nation for which they fought and died; to refuse the continued perversion of truth and the escalation of hatred; and to renew the capacity ∼ when the reckoning comes, as it will ∼ to stand-to at dawn beside those who stand with us, then this will be a country that has merited their sacrifice.



 OVERSEAS:

Smoke rising from the Tuapse oil refinery in Tuapse, southern Russia. The scene in Tuapse, an industrial port town of about 60,000 people on Russia’s Black Sea coast, has turned apocalyptic in recent days after Ukrainian strikes on a local oil refinery sparked major fires and spilled oil into the surrounding environment. Located about 80 kilometers (50 miles) northwest of Sochi, Tuapse is home to a Rosneft-owned refinery that processes around 12 million metric tons of crude annually and serves as a key export route for naphtha, fuel oil and diesel. The refinery was last struck on Monday, setting off a major fire and spilling petroleum products into the Black Sea and the Tuapse River. Since then, residents say they have seen widespread “black rain,” smelled burning and observed mass bird deaths. Many say oily black droplets have appeared on their clothes and skin after spending time outdoors.


The Moscow Times reminds It's been a tough week for television host Vladimir Solovyov, a familiar face to people outside Russia thanks to his aggressive monologues about the West, Ukraine and what he portrays as moral decay and global conspiracies. He has been compared to U.S. conspiracy theorist Alex Jones, who has even interviewed him on Infowars. Solovyov's signature style triggered a diplomatic incident this week after Italy summoned the Russian Ambassador in Rome over remarks he made about Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni. Speaking in Italian on Russian television, he called Meloni "a disgrace to the human race," a "wild beast," a "certified idiot" and a "nasty little woman." He also drew a public rebuke from Monaco-based influencer Viktoria Bonya, whom he called a "worn out w***e" and told to keep her "filthy mouth" shut after she appealed to President Vladimir Putin to do something about the plight of ordinary Russians. Bonya later said she had accepted an invitation from Solovyov's team to appear on his program next week. On the geopolitical front, U.S. President Donald Trump extended Washington's sanctions waver allowing purchases of Russian oil and oil products already at sea, in an effort to combat the global supply crunch. He did so just days after his treasury secretary said no extension was planned, after which Tehran tightened its grip on the Strait of Hormuz. The Trump administration even went so far as to signal it would invite Putin to the G20 summit in Florida this December. Moscow has been pushing to be allowed to return to the global stage through fora like this. However, Trump said he doubted whether Putin would take up the invitation. What else happened this week: ■ The Central Bank cut the key interest rate for the eighth time in a row, from 15% to 14.5%. Analysts anticipated the cut as a compromise as inflation continues to run high. ■ Putin defended Russia's highly controversial internet outages as a necessary safeguard against "terrorist attacks." He dismissed calls to alert the public of outages in advance, saying that would be counterproductive. ■ Ukrainian drone strikes have forced Russia to slash oil production by 300,000-400,000 barrels a day this month. ■ Law enforcement officers raided government offices in the republic of Dagestan, targeting officials accused of issuing illegal building permits that authorities say worsened the impact of recent floods that killed at least seven people and displaced more than 6200 people. ■ The EU agreed a 20th package of sanctions on Russia, along with a 90 billion euro ($105.3 billion) loan for Ukraine. Hungary and Slovakia dropped their vetoes after Kyiv said repairs to the damaged Druzhba pipeline were completed. ■ The 18-year-old eldest son of Chechen leader Ramzan Kadyrov expanded his portfolio ∼ which already includes an endless stream of state awards and positions ∼to launch a line of energy drinks.






The Murrurundi Times is owned, compiled and written by Des Dugan. Email