Friday 24-04-2026 8:52pm

Johannes Leak cartoon in today's Oz

US heads for the EV rentals

Meanwhile, in the US early signs of a shift toward electric vehicles have emerged for U.S. car rental companies as customers become wary of paying more at the pump due to the conflict in the Middle East. At Hertz, which rents cars to Uber and Lyft drivers on a longer-term basis than traditional rentals, requests for EV reservations increased nearly 25% in March compared with February. The strongest uptick in demand for EV rentals has occurred on the West Coast, where gas prices tend to run highest, according to Doria Holbrook, executive vice president of Hertz's mobility division. At Turo, a peer-to-peer car-rental service similar to property-rental site Airbnb , EV bookings ?increased by 11% in the last three weeks of March compared with the prior three-week period. On March 31, the day U.S. gas prices eclipsed $4 a gallon for the first time since 2022, EV bookings on Turo were 47% higher than on the same day in 2025, the company said.


 SPORT:

Expected footie night while Amy just belted away in the sun

A night of the expected but not the numbers … Swans were all over the West Bulldogs 126-60 but not so the West Tigers who scraped through 33-14 against the Canberra Raiders. [click to read more]

While up in Darwin Oliver Shedden reckons it has been a stop-start opening two rounds of the Darwin and District Cricket Competition’s Women’s tournament, stars have begun to shine.

Former WBBL Melbourne Renegades batter Amy Yates (left) showed her class in Round 2 for PINT against Waratah blasting 107 off just 40 deliveries.

The monumental opening knock featured 17 boundaries and six maximums with the all-rounder striking at 267.50.

Yates wasn't the only PINT player to cash-in against the Warriors as Tegan Rule ended her side’s 20-over stint on 61* alongside all-rounder Mya Newey (33*) to lead the green and gold to 2-250.

They then rolled Waratah for 6-61 from 10.3 overs to open its account after losing to Palmerston through DLS method in Round 1.

Newey was the most successful PINT player in that match-up, being the lone force for her side with 36* as they reached 102 and then took 2-18 in the loss.

The other matches in Round 2 were abandoned due to weather, Tracy Village v Palmerston, without a ball being bowled and Nightcliff v Southern Districts at 13 overs with the Tigers at 1-86.

Kate Sherriff (36*) and co-captain Sophia Di Venuto (31*) looked set and ready to accelerate in the back half of the innings before the cancellation.

Nightcliff were handily beaten in Round 1 against a humming Tracy Village side that sits atop the standings heading into Round 3.

Village bowled the Tigers out for 56 with Anna Laursen Habel (2-13) and Krystelle Jones (2-12) the spearheads before Ekam Dhillon (22*) got them home in the seventh over.

There are promising signs early for Southern Districts as multiple players stood up in the Crocs win over Waratah in Round 1.

Kelly Armstrong picked up 3-14 in a strong bowling performance while Keely Stone and Andrea Ellis jagged two wickets apiece while Monet Hunter was the only Waratah batter to show resistance with 35.

In the second innings, Hannah Armstrong played a strong hand at the top of the order with 48* with assistance from Stone (22) to get the 6-wicket win while Waratah co-captain Alice Caldow took 2-15.


 STOCKMARKET:

War uncertainty dims market

U.S. stocks fell in choppy trading on Thursday as hopes dimmed for a quick end to the Iran war, while investors grappled with a mixed bag of earnings reports as concerns resurfaced about AI-driven disruption across the software sector, Reuters updated on today's website. [click to continue reading]

Equities had been holding near unchanged after Iran tightened control over the Strait of Hormuz. Tehran released footage of its commandos storming a huge cargo ship they claimed to have seized, while demanding the U.S. lift its naval blockade on Iranian ports.

Stocks weakened after reports that Iran’s Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf had resigned from the negotiating team. Losses were extended as oil prices shot higher after reports of air attacks in Iran.

Iran’s Fars news agency said the air defenses were activated due to small drones at several locations across the country.

We're playing musical chairs between earnings season and these war headlines that are not likely to be that great, said Jay Hatfield, CEO and CIO of Infrastructure Capital Advisors in New York.

We had a big run, and there are people looking to take some exposure off, and using the war as an excuse is not a bad excuse.

Markets had rallied in recent weeks on hopes a resolution to the Iran war was on the horizon, along with expectations of solid corporate earnings.

But gains have been harder to come by this week. On Monday, the Nasdaq snapped a 13-session streak of gains as optimism faded for a resolution to the war.

Oil prices holding near $100 a barrel also kept fears of rising inflation in focus.

Benchmark futures contract rate for wholesale gasoline

According to preliminary data, the S&P 500 lost 29.86 points, or 0.42%, to end at 7,108.04 points, while the Nasdaq Composite lost 218.14 points, or 0.88%, to 24,439.42. The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 182.45 points, or 0.36%, to 49,313.27.

Data on Thursday showed weekly initial jobless claims increased only marginally last week, but risks from higher prices due to the war could hamper the economy.

S&P Global’s flash U.S. Composite PMI Output Index, which tracks the manufacturing and services sectors, increased this month after almost stagnating in March, but the improvement was largely due to what it said was stock building in the face of concerns over supply availability and price hikes.

The earnings season has been largely strong so far, with 82.1% of the 123 companies that have reported earnings through Thursday morning topping analyst expectations, according to Tajinder Dhillon, head of earnings research at LSEG. The earnings growth rate of 15.6% is up from the 14.4% at the start of the month.

The S&P 500 tech index was the worst performing of the 11 major S&P sectors, weighed down in part by a drop in IBM after revenue growth slowed in the first quarter on weakness in its software business.

Also weighing on the sector was a plunge in ServiceNow after it reported quarterly results and said revenue growth was dented by delays in closing government deals in the Middle East.

The results reawakened concerns that the software sector’s traditional business models could be upended by new AI tools, and the S&P 500 software and services index dropped about 5% on the session.

Tesla shares fell after the company raised its spending plan to more than $25 billion for the year.

Car-rental company Avis Budget’s (CAR.O), opens new tab shares plummeted about 50% and recorded their steepest two-day drop ever, after a meteoric rally that was reminiscent of the meme-stock craze.

On the flip side, Texas Instruments surged after forecasting second-quarter revenue and profit above Wall Street expectations.The global economy is facing ever more tangible strains from the energy shock triggered by the Iran war as factories grapple with soaring production costs and activity weakens even in services sectors, major surveys showed on Thursday. While much of the world's economy has shown resilience in the face of the worst disruption to energy supplies in modern times, the knock-on effects of the near-two-month conflict are starting to push up inflation while raising concerns about food supplies and prompting downgrades to economic growth.


 NEWS:

🎪 Don't believe
a word
they said

Health Minister Mark Butler’s decision to axe higher private health insurance rebates for over-65s, triggering widespread anger among retirees, runs contrary to previous advice to the federal department that found the policy was good value for government, reports The Australian today's website. [click to read more]

The conclusion is in contrast to Mr Butler’s remarks describing higher rebates to older people as unfair and without policy merit.

Actuarial modelling commissioned by the federal health department under the previous Liberal government and received in 2023 found the policy would cost the federal government more than it saved.

The report by the consultancy firm Finity found reducing the private health insurance rebate levels for older people would have a short-term negative impact on government finances as rebate savings would be less than the claims funded by insurance companies for people in this age group.

Those without private cover would have to be treated in the public system.

The health department held consultations in 2023 arising from the Finity report, indicating the Albanese government then took the findings into consideration.

At present, people over 65 in eligible income brackets are given a higher rebate by the government to help pay the cost of private health insurance premiums. The loading is higher still for those aged over 70.

Scrapping higher private health insurance rebates will punish older people relying solely on the pension the most, at a time when they are least able to fund private cover.

Health insurer peak body Private Healthcare Australia has issued a plea to the government to reconsider the policy for the lowest income earners over 65.

The government plans to redirect savings as a result of the axing of the rebates to aged care.

The scrapping of higher rebates for older Australians when they need them the most has sparked outrage among many older Australians who have paid private health premiums for much of their working lives while rarely claiming.

Retired pharmacist Lisa Willis, 67, said the government’s move really stinks.

I've had private health insurance for over 40 years, Ms Willis said. My husband’s just been diagnosed with Parkinson’s. We're going to continue on with private health insurance, but I think a rebate continuing would have been nice. I'm very disappointed because I've voted Labor for quite a long while.

Private health insurance rebates are means tested according to four income tiers. The base tier income level gets the higher rebate, and the rebate lessens proportionately in tiers 1 and 2, while families with a combined income of more than $316,000 are not eligible for any rebate.

Currently, singles aged between 65 and 69 who have an income of less than $101,000 receive a rebate towards the cost of their health insurance premium of 28.33%, The rebate also applies to someone over 65 who is in a family with an income of less than $202,000.

The rebate is higher for those aged over 70 in this income tier, rising to 32.38%.

Those under 65 receive a rebate of 24.3%.

The rebate in tier 1 income level is 20.24% for over-65s, 24.28% for the over-70s, and 16.1% for under-65s.

At the National Press Club on Wednesday, when he announced the changes, Mr Butler described higher PHI rebates for older people ∼ introduced by the Howard government over a decade ago ∼ as unfair and without polic

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 LOCAL CHATTER:

A special display organised and in the foyer of the Murrurundi council chambers by librarian Rebecca Bowman. The soldier figurines were very patiently painted by local George Harper for the occasion. This long weekend are the markets, Anzac Day on Saturday and the markets on Sunday while Monday is a rest day some of us will need. The sheep dog trials start on Friday and run through to the finals on Sunday.
♦♦♦♦
Just a reminder, double demerits for the Anzac Day long weekend begin on Friday and continue until Monday night. Road users caught speeding, using a mobile phone illegally, riding without a helmet, not wearing or incorrectly wearing a seatbelt or carrying passengers not wearing or incorrectly wearing a seatbelt or restraint — face double the loss of points, not double the fine. NSW Police Traffic and Highway Patrol Command reminds drivers, especially parents and carers, that on the opening day of the Anzac enforcement Friday, 24 April, school zones will be in operation.
♦♦♦♦

 NEWS:

🎃 Vegies headed
for short
supply and
high prices

The price of vegetables could soar by 50% as some farmers choose not to sow key produce on Aussies' grocery lists due to fuel and fertiliser costs the Daily Telegraph newspaper today reports. [click to read more]

The cost of fertiliser has more than doubled while the ongoing fuel crisis has left farmers unsure if they'll be able to source fuel to harvest or transport produce over winter.

Vegetables with shorter growing cycles like leafy greens, zucchinis, capsicums and eggplants were likely to be impacted, Farmers Pick chief executive officer Josh Ball said.

I think we could see it go up as much as 50 per cent in the worst case scenario in the next six months, Mr Ball said.

Growers were reassessing their planting as the vegetable industry was afflicted by widespread uncertainty, surging costs and shortages of fertiliser and fuel, AUSVEG chief executive officer Michael Coote said.

Impacts are playing out differently for growers of a wide range of crops in vegetable growing regions across the country, and the widespread uncertainty and unknowns over the availability of critical farm inputs need to be urgently addressed, he said.

In Victoria, Shepparton farmer Dhami Singh has made the tough decision not to plant broccoli, saying it just wasn't financially viable to plant the popular winter vegetable.

It’s really tough, Mr Singh told this masthead.

Everything is getting expensive with the fuel prices … and that makes everything expensive and hard, and we're not doing broccoli this year, just because we can't just afford it.

Reduced plantings and yields reduced the availability of food, which pushed up prices, National Farmers Federation president Hamish McIntyre said.

Farmers are price takers, which means rising fuel costs are largely absorbed on farms and cut into already tight margins, he said.

However, other parts of the supply chain will inevitably pass increased costs onto consumers.

The cost of fertiliser had gone from $800 a tonne to up to $2000 a tonne, according to NSW Farmers Association vice president Rebecca Reardon.

Fertiliser and fuel, particularly fertiliser, has a huge impact on our bottom line, for someone like grain producers, but, you know, even fruit and vegetables, she said.

Rabobank research general manager Stefan Vogel said he was expecting a reduction in fresh produce as farmers also grappled with the costs of transporting vegetables and fruit to metropolitan areas.

Transport cost is another big cost block for farmers, especially for the horticultural space, he said.

Mr Vogel said he expected food price inflation to increase although said it would take some time before the additional pressures were reflected in supermarket prices.

But yes, we're expecting inflation to increase in Australia, driven by both food but also fuel costs.

GrainGrowers chief executive officer Shona Gawel said she was aware some growers were choosing to stop growing some crops entirely.

Anecdotally, we've been told some growers will be opting to plant less this year, while others may not plant a crop at all, which will have a significant financial impact on growers, she said.





Burgess (centre) said he “would feel like a traitor to the Brotherhood” if he didn’t speak out.

🏘 Civilians don't
face the
realities
of war

An ex-commando warns the government has betrayed soldiers like Ben Roberts-Smith by investigating them for doing their job in brutal warfare reports the news.com.au website today. [click to read more]

In the brutal, unforgiving landscape of Afghanistan, the lines between friend and foe were often indistinguishable — a reality Dean Burgess, an ex-Special Forces operator, knows intimately.

You don't really know from one minute to the next if they're are friendly or not, he explains, recalling a moment when he nearly opened fire on an old farmer who casually had an AK 47 slung over his shoulder.

His finger hovering over the trigger of his .50 calibre machine gun, he all but pulled the trigger and blew this guy in half on a nursery patrol.

This sobering close call was just one of countless moments that forged Burgess in a land where survival was a daily battle against both man and nature.

Afghanistan is the graveyard of empires, a place where basically anybody that’s going there to fight a war has lost. Yeah. And we're no different, he said during an exclusive interview with news.com.au.

The landscape is extreme, the temperatures extreme. Extremely hot, extremely cold in winter, minus 30 up in the mountains.

Even waiting for a helicopter on the tarmac could mean enduring 45 to 50 degree stifling heat. But it was the mountains that truly tested them. When you get up into those mountains, it’s really craggy, almost volcanic. So there’s nothing there that wants you to stay alive. Everything’s pretty much trying to kill you most of the time.

This constant, visceral threat, coupled with the moral ambiguities of an asymmetric war without uniforms, shaped Burgess.

For over 10 years since leaving the service in 2013, he has adhered to the unwritten code of the quiet professionals.

But now, as a father of four, he has emerged from the shadows, compelled by the public scrutiny surrounding the special forces communities, case and point being Ben Roberts-Smith and Oliver Schultz, and the approaching Anzac Day.

I just would feel like a traitor to the Brotherhood if I didn't, he reiterates, the weight of his loyalty palpable.

For us, the war hasn't ended yet … Ben, Ollie, they are in a bit of a sh** jam right now, and I wouldn't feel right if I just sat and did nothing about it.

He speaks not to defend specific actions or comment in any way on the allegations levelled against Roberts-Smith but to offer a rare glimpse into the impossible choices that can be made in the fog of war, wanting to make sure Australians understand the complex realities of war. <

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🔬 Fourteen
million
years old
apostles

A history of the Earth': Twelve Apostles revealed to be as old as 14m years. Tectonic plate movements over millions of years have lifted and tilted the layers, with records of ancient earthquakes in the rocks reports the The Guardian website. [click to read more].

Microscopic fossils embedded in limestone have helped reveal the true age of Victoria’s Twelve Apostles as 8.6m to 14m years old.

The conclave of giant golden pillars is visited by 2.8 million tourists each year, a highlight for those travelling along the Great Ocean Road south-west of Melbourne.

But where visitors see rocks rising out of the Southern Ocean, geologists see layers of history, said Prof. Stephen Gallagher of the University of Melbourne. We see layers, we see time, we see a history of the Earth.

Tectonic plate movements over millions of years have lifted and tilted the layers of underlying Gellibrand marl (15m years old) and the Apostles' yellow and grey Port Campbell limestone, rocks formed since the mid Miocene, he said. They are topped by a more recent layer of red-brown soil called Hesse clay.

The tectonic movements didn't push up the Apostles perfectly straight, he said. Instead, they forced layers to tilt and break along the way. If you look closely at the cliffs around the Twelve Apostles today, you can see the limestone layers are not flat but are, in fact, tilted by a few degrees. Small fault lines can also be seen, which are records of ancient earthquakes.

The rocks might be ancient but the seven or eight sea stacks ∼ originally known as the Sow and Piglets on nautical maps ∼ formed more recently as the cliffs eroded.

You go to the look out platforms and you see this fantastic vista in front of you with millions of years of strata, and millions of years of a story, Gallagher said. “And then those sea stacks are the tiny last minute in that story, the last few thousand.

Because only 20,000 years ago you could walk to Tasmania because Bass Strait was a lake — you could walk about another 70km offshore from the present Twelve Apostles and you would still be on land.

The geology of the Twelve Apostles has now been painstakingly described and precisely dated by scientists using photographs, digital mapping, samples, measurements of gamma radiation and analysis of minuscule popcorn-like fossils extracted from the rock. The results are published in the Australian Journal of Earth Sciences (best of luck getting on; the bots bottle you up).

The fossils, tiny critters that evolved, lived and went extinct at particular times, were used to establish exact ages for each layer of rock.

These single-celled organisms, called foraminifera, were a really useful method for dating rocks and fossils in marine ecosystems, said Dr Matthew McCurry, curator of palaeontology at the Australian Museum who was not involved in the study. It was a technique palaeontologists often used in combination with radiometric dating.

Erich Fitzgerald, senior curator of vertebrate palaeontology at Museums Victoria Research Institute, said the Apostle’s rocks were forming during a time of major environmental change. Known as the Middle Miocene Climatic Transition, it was a slide into proper sustained global cooling", setting the scene for what would later become the Ice Ages, he said.

As clays, muds and limestones were forming the Apostles, seas were higher and brimming with plankton and a diversity of ocean life. Sharks were never larger, never had it better, he said. That is the peak reign of the gigantic mega-tooth shark, megalodon, for example.

Fitzgerald, who was not involved in the study, said it was an important paper, bookending the age of the Twelve Apostles and the cliffs opposite in geological time.

When we are trying to understand critical events in the history of our planet, and the evolution of the Earth ∼ its environment, and, of course, all the organisms, all the animals and plants in it ∼ there is one thing that we really have to get a good handle on to understand that — and that is dating it.

Despite, you know, more than 100 years of scientific inquiry by geologists and palaeontologists, what this highlights is how much we are still learning and still have to learn about even the most famous and heavily visited and recognisable natural features in the state of Victoria.

Ed: All happened without a coal-fired power station in sight. Sorry, could not help myself! [click the intro to return to front page]




 COMMENT:

Murrurundi Times news site with items covering national news and Upper Hunter region including the township of Murrurundi
Chris Bowen has claimed oil drilling decisions should be based on economics and engineering, despite his government creating barriers that Vikki Campion says make new projects impossible writes Vikki Campion in Daily Telegraph yesterday. [click to read more]

Drilling for oil in Australian territory is the equivalent of dropping every last dollar into the dusty arcade claw machine while the entire Labor cabinet cheers go for it!, knowing the whole game is rigged.

When Climate Change Minister Chris Bowen this week said that decisions about whether to drill should be based on the economics and the engineering and if it meets the environmental approvals, then it can happen and should happen, it was as if he had had nothing to do with the economics or the environmental approvals.

Look at the first budget of the Albanese government, which cancelled a swag of grants announced for diesel storage and petroleum drilling and instead decided to fund the Environmental Defenders Office, which then took Beetaloo drilling projects approved by former Resources Minister Keith Pitt to the NT Supreme Court.

A new anti drilling bureaucracy

Last year, they brought in reforms so that businesses need to deliver a net gain for biodiversity, a new bureaucracy in a federal Environmental Protection Agency with the power to issue stop-work orders, and forced abatement of carbon emissions under the guise of a carbon tax masquerading as the Safeguard Mechanism.

Bowen and the rest of the Albanese government, who went on to spend the next four years talking about reducing emissions, know the system has been gamed so much, with everything stacked against any new proponent, only a fool would try.

Bowen blames engineering as the issue. Any drilling must pass those economics and engineering tests, he says. But it wasn't too hard for them to drill in the 1970s in the Bass Strait, one of the world’s most dangerous stretches of water, home to the roaring forties and shipwrecks galore, and its oil production softened Australia’s exposure to the last global petroleum crisis.

Just too difficult in Oz

But, now in 2026, Mr Bowen wants us to believe that drilling is just too difficult in Australia.

Australia’s oceans are apparently scarier than they were 50 years ago. More terrifying than Russian icy seas or the deep swell off the Gulf of Mexico, where some of the deepest oil rigs produce millions of barrels of oil.

In the 1970s, we produced 70% of our own petroleum from local oil and refineries.

Now we rely on imports and there’s no guarantee we'll have fuel past mid-May.

The government measures fuel security by counting empty service stations, even though these aren't the main suppliers for big buyers like farmers or miners.

Zelots making sure we don't drill

It has everything to do with the government, which forced existing wells to be capped, who armed those who oppose petroleum on ideological grounds with taxpayer-funded court cases and who provide minimal transparency in relation to activist groups masquerading as charities.

Zealots staff environmental departments, industry super funds are forced to buy politically correct investments, and geologists find themselves busier with paperwork than getting dirty, forced to deal with both state and federal departments to handle what is a state resource.

Australia’s oil is both attainable and comparable to the best reserves in the world. The biggest impediment is not sub-arctic temperatures or deep oceans, but the government itself. No investor is going to sink billions into the Albanese claw machine for drilling, knowing that they will never win.

One-eyed passion

Bowen insists projects need to stack up environmentally, while disregarding foreign companies dynamiting pristine forests for wind turbines or NSW’s EnergyCo, in its one-eyed passion for building transmission towers spanning thousands of kilometres, no matter how much biodiversity goes under the bulldozer.

The game works for them — they get the prize. If we eased environmental approvals, as we do for transmission lines, sped up payments and granted landowners underground rights, we could produce Australian oil within six months.

Mr Bowen says any development needs to stack up economically but one must ask the question: with crude oil prices surging toward $144 a barrel and domestic fuel security evaporating, how exactly does refusing to develop our own resources make good economic sense?

The game was never meant to be won. It has been rigged to ensure the only people walking away with any plush toy from behind the glass are the ones Mr Bowen has already decided should win.

We have skills, technology and the guts to claim the prize for oil. The only thing we don't have is a government that’s prepared to let us play a fair game.

It’s easier to see the bite in the small towns, on the quieter streets, because when the shop shuts, it doesn't reopen; darkened windows sit as an empty reminder of what used to bring people together between the post office and the IGA.

Another day older and deeper in debt!

Over the coffee machine in one cafe, the owner confides that he thinks his business is done because he can't sell enough lattes and eggs to pay the four-figure power bill; even with the crowd out front, and the line at the till, with good staff and good food, every month he goes deeper into debt.

You see it in statistics from the Australian Securities & Investments Commission which show that 14,722 businesses entered insolvency in the 2025 financial year.

Statistics from the Australian Energy Regulator released this week show that more than 6200 electricity customers were disconnected in the last quarter, with the average account holder owing $2600 at the time of disconnection.

Thousands of businesses are going insolvent, and thousands of people are being disconnected from power.

And they tell us it's betting cheaper

Yet the same bureaucrats tell us power is getting cheaper and assure us renewables will send bills down. Just not before we go out of business.

The smart ones try to get out quickly, listening to their heads rather than their entrepreneurial hearts. They watch their plans fall apart — how they turned a shabby old house into a lively spot for coffee and tea, a place where the lonely or elderly could meet and talk, a bit of sophistication in a town where the only other choice is the pub.


Murrurundi Times news site with items covering national news and Upper Hunter region including the township of Murrurundi
At dawn in the high summer of 413BC, when the Peloponnesian War was in its 18th year, two trophies faced each other across the narrow strait at the mouth of the Corinthian Gulf. The day before, a Corinthian fleet had met an Athenian squadron and for the first time had struck the Athenians more forcefully than they could strike back, Henry Ergas writes in the The Australian today. [click to read more]

The Corinthians knew the Athenians' larger fleet and masterly seamanship gave them a crushing advantage. To counter it, they modified their ships' prows, making them shorter and stouter to withstand ramming. Having neutralised their adversaries' superiority by departing from the conventional Greek ship design, they raised their victory trophy at Erineus on the Achaean shore.

But despite extensive damage, the Athenians held the water at the fighting’s end, recovered the wrecks and the dead and, according to traditional standards, were the victors. In the hours that followed, they rowed across the Gulf and planted a counter-trophy at Molycrian Rhion, on the Aetolian side.

By the early morning light the two trophies therefore came clearly into view only three kilometres apart. Longstanding rules, that awarded victory to one side or the other, had been breached; but it was something far deeper that lay broken at Erineus.

German intellectual historian Hans Blumenberg ∼ who had experienced the rise of Nazism ∼ put it best. Human beings, he argued, are constitutionally incapable of living in unfiltered contact with reality, exposed to the overwhelming, undifferentiated threat of a world that offers no given orientation, no protection. We therefore connect ourselves to it through the mediating tissue of myth and ritual, metaphor and story.

These do not give us access to the world as it is; they render it intelligible by investing events with significance and placing them within a widely understood frame. And what makes a society viable is sufficient overlap between its members' mental maps to allow them to manage their differences.

When the common repertoire of memories, symbols and words breaks down, that connective tissue is not merely strained; it is torn apart. The result is what Thucydides called stasis: a condition in which conflict can no longer be contained by the civic order, driving society towards rupture.

The war, as Erineus revealed, had shredded the Greek world’s shared frame of significance — undermining ritual, dissolving trust and corroding alliances once deemed secure.

However, the process ran not only between poleis but within them. And nowhere was the descent into stasis more disastrous than in Thucydides' beloved Athens.

Against stasis, Athens had, at the war’s outset, one extraordinary bulwark: the city as Pericles had taught his generation to see it. What distinguished the Athenians, Pericles said in the Funeral Oration, was that they loved life and lived it fully, yet were ready to die for their city, precisely because the city gave them so much.

But claiming love of, and loyalty to, the city was easy when both were without cost. Once the plague descended on Athens in 430BC, bringing sudden and unpredictable death, Athenians began to live for the moment, placing present appetite above future concerns.

Soon after, with Pericles dying while the plague raged, his demagogic successors devoted their specious rhetoric to inflaming division rather than fostering collective purpose.

It was, however, the war that consummated the rupture into opposing camps. War, Thucydides writes, filches away the easy provision of the everyday. The civic decencies proved dependent on peace and plenty; when citizens were forced to bear even the slightest hardship, the thinness of the civic compact was exposed.

By then, dialogue had collapsed and the factions were hermetically enclosed in their own myths, entrenching the hatreds between them. The war had come home. It was only a matter of time before external enemies administered the coup de grace to a body that had already lost its capacity to cohere. Thucydides' formula is terse: the Athenians did not succumb to Sparta; they succumbed to one another.

Thucydides, with what Nietzsche praised as his courage in the face of reality, diagnosed the disease as its victim lay dying. But he did far more than that. His history is itself a compensatory act of significance-making in the face of significance’s dissolution.

By giving the war a shape, a language, a set of themes that still organise political thought, Thucydides produced a ktêma es aiei, a possession for all time. He wrote, he tells us, so that future men, when they see similar tragedies looming ∼ and the nature of human affairs makes their recurrence inevitable ∼ may recognise the risks and act accordingly.

Two and a half millennia later, his warning resonates. Once again, we are in a war marred not only by the clash of arms but by a cacophony of contradictory claims.

War, by its nature, shrouds gains and losses in secrecy, deception and misrepresentation. Worse still, assessments of its likely course are vitiated by the inherent unpredictability of action and reaction: what Thucydides called to astathmëton — the irreducible contingency of a world that can be acted upon but never fully mastered.

But despite those factors, which urge caution, there is an extraordinary rush to judgment, pronouncing outcomes and anointing victors, before they are decided. And no less extraordinary is the vehemence with which opposing views are held, assigning all success (and tactical shrewdness) to one side and all failure (and strategic folly) to the other.

The barely disguised schadenfreude of Donald Trump’s haters and the matching ire of his supporters, are, no doubt, part of the explanation. They are, however, symptoms rather than causes, visible manifestations of the stasis Thucydides acutely analysed: the withering, here as throughout the West, of the common repertoire of values and practices through which contending arguments can be advanced, differences addressed, tensions however imperfectly contained.

And yet the crowds at the Anzac Day dawn service ∼ one of the few occasions on which Australians still gather the frayed threads of historical significance ∼ show the longing for a shared framework of meaning persists.

Inaugurated in another time of bitter division, after the searing antagonisms of the conscription referendums, the dawn service’s ritual centre, with its They shall grow not old, as we that are left grow old, says nothing of the dead’s relation to eternity; it speaks instead of the living’s relation to the dead, conferring enduring meaning on events that unfolded more than a century ago in war’s all-enveloping fog.

The Last Post is sounded into the dark; the silence is kept; the Rouse follows as the sky begins to brighten. Between the two lies a held breath in which the nation briefly becomes, once more, a community.

That is a pause, not a cure. But if, in those few moments, we can resolve to remember not only the fallen but the achievements, now so often derided, of the nation for which they fought and died; to refuse the continued perversion of truth and the escalation of hatred; and to renew the capacity ∼ when the reckoning comes, as it will ∼ to stand-to at dawn beside those who stand with us, then this will be a country that has merited their sacrifice.



 OVERSEAS:

Sam Sifton writes in The New York Times The White House says that Iran's seizure of two ships in the Strait of Hormuz is not a deal-breaker for peace negotiations. And senators didn't get much sleep. They were up well past midnight voting on budget proposals. Fun. I grew up reading the Harper's Index, a collection of statistics that has run in Harper's Magazine since 1984. There's something both spare and illuminating about each one. The collected facts amount to a kind of poetry, as these three stanzas from the May 2026 issue suggest: Percentage of Americans who say that, as children, they knew a compassionate, nonjudgmental adult: 35;m; Percentage of these Americans who say that their mother was such a person: 50; That their father was: 5. As the cease-fires in Iran and Lebanon tremble, my colleague Evan Gorelick and I thought an index would be a useful way to examine the war. Numbers can help us understand what's happening in the region and in the world beyond it, as the U.S. and Iran jockey for control of the Strait of Hormuz and Pakistani officials try to nudge diplomats from Washington and Tehran toward the negotiating table in Islamabad. Oil and transit: ● The share of the world's oil that passed through the Strait of Hormuz before the war: one-fifth. ● The number of ships that sailed through the strait on any given day before the war: 130. ● The number of ships that did so Tuesday: 1. ● The increase in the price of diesel fuel since the war began: 45 percent. ● The number of flights Lufthansa Group, the German airline, said it would cut over the next six months to save jet fuel: 20,000. Politics and diplomacy: ● Days since the U.S. and Israel began joint strikes against Iran: 54. ● The number of targets the U.S. military says it has struck: more than 13,000. ● The number of days until President Trump's authority to wage war without congressional action ends: 8. The toll: ● The number of senior Iranian officials Israel says it has killed: more than 250. ● The number of U.S. military service members killed in the war, according to Central Command: 13. ● The number of people killed in Iran during the war, according to Iranian state media and a U.S.-based rights group: more than 3,000, including 1,700 civilians. ● The number of people killed during Israeli strikes on Lebanon, according to Lebanese officials: nearly 2,300. ● The number of people killed in Israel by missiles fired from Iran and Lebanon, according to Israel's ambulance service: 23. And finally: ● The number of items ∼ including articles, videos, blog posts, opinion essays and interactive features, maps and trackers ∼ that The Times has published about the Iran conflict and its ramifications, as of yesterday afternoon: 2,023.






The Murrurundi Times is owned, compiled and written by Des Dugan. Email